Frequently Asked Questions
Why should I care about improving my predictive reasoning skills? I think I'm pretty good at forecasting!
The only way you can claim you are good at anticipating events or making forecasts is to actually test your skill. Humans are forecasting machines; every decision we make is essentially placing a bet over whether something will happen or not. But Nobel Prize-winning research has shown that all people are psychologically prone to unjustified overconfidence. That overconfidence is a key reason why people assume they are predictively accurate, but in reality often blunder in decision-making because the things they thought would happen, actually didn't. The good news is that research we and colleagues have done in anticipatory intelligence shows that getting better at prediction is a trainable skill. And the people who benefit most are the ones who start with the lowest skill level! Getting better at anticipating what comes next is at the core of making better decisions and future-proofing your life.
What if I'm not smart enough? Math & science are not my best subjects.
We have built this course for the average math-phobic person, not statisticians. Part of the art in prediction science is in how we take complex subjects and use cartoons and humor to make the material approachable, easily understandable and fun. We've tested the content modules on hundreds of human test subjects over several years and we know that the people who gain the biggest improvements are those with the least prior background in the material concepts.
When does the bootcamp take place?
The first ARETE bootcamp begins on 30 October 2020, and will last for 6 weeks, ending on the 11 December 2020. Each bootcamp only takes in 50 participants, so that we can give everyone personalized attention. We schedule 4 bootcamps per year. If you wanted to sign up, but the bootcamp was sold-out, you can sign up at https://www.pytho.io/arete on a first-come, first-serve basis to be in the queue for the next bootcamp.
What if I can't make it to one of the live weekly sessions?
The weekly live sessions are recorded and made available during the bootcamp period to all participants in case they are unable to join on a particular day. Much of the live sessions involve interactive exercises with your team, which comes in handy, since they can help fill you in and provide detail beyond what the video recording can if you miss a session.
What if I'm unhappy with the course?
Contact us in the first 30 days and we will give you a no-questions-asked full refund.