Why should I care about improving my predictive reasoning skills? I think I'm pretty good at forecasting!
The only way you can claim you are good at making forecasts is to actually test your skill. Nobel Prize-winning research has shown overconfidence is a key reason why people assume they are predictively accurate, but in reality often blunder in decision-making because the things they thought would happen, actually didn't. The good news is that research we and colleagues have done in anticipatory intelligence shows that getting better at prediction is a trainable skill. And the people who benefit most are the ones who start with the lowest skill level! Getting better at anticipating what comes next is at the core of making better decisions and future-proofing your perspective.
What if I'm not smart enough? Math & science are not my best subjects.
We have built this course for the average math-phobic person, not statisticians. We take complex subjects and use cartoons and humor to make the material approachable. We've tested the content modules on hundreds of human test subjects over several years.
When does the Bootcamp's tournament take place?
ARETE tournaments are held twice a year, in Spring and Fall. They last for a month, and the next one is scheduled to begin October 2021. You will receive an email with scheduled tournament dates so that you can choose whether you want to test yourself in the Spring or the Fall tournament.
What if I'm unhappy with the course?
We would never want you to be unhappy! Contact us in the first 30 days and we will give you a no-questions-asked full refund.
When does this course start?
Once the Bootcamp goes live on 14 July 2021, course materials will become available upon purchase.
When does the course end?
It's a completely self-paced online course—you decide when you start and when you finish.
How long do I have access to the course?
After enrolling, you have unlimited access to this course for the length of your annual subscription—across any (and all) devices you own.
Who teaches this course?
ARETE's creator, a top-ranked Superforecaster and co-founder of Pytho, teaches the course.
What are the software requirements for this course?
You will also need access to the Internet to download the course files, stream videos, and participate in the forecasting tournament.
How long is this course?
The ARETE Decision Bootcamp course materials comprise over 5 hours of video tutorials and a month of forecasting activity. The tutorials can be explored at your own pace throughout the length of your annual subscription.
How much does this course cost?
The cost of ARETE Decision Bootcamp is $588